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    Home | Rugby | What the Stats Don’t Tell You: five straight Paris wins, and how close most of them were
    Rugby

    What the Stats Don’t Tell You: five straight Paris wins, and how close most of them were

    Lehlohonolo ScheepersBy Lehlohonolo Scheepers11 November 20269 Mins Read
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    Rugby analysis card highlighting five consecutive Springbok wins against France in Paris and the close 29-28 World Cup quarter-final in 2023.
    Five straight Springbok wins in Paris include several narrow contests, notably the 29-28 World Cup quarter-final in 2023. France host South Africa on Friday 13 November.
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    Table of Contents

    Toggle
    • The number: 66-7, nine tries and a run of five
    • What the numbers seem to say
    • What actually happened in Turin and in Paris
    • Why the gap exists: Springboks v France stats need a map
    • What it means for Friday
    • Frequently asked questions

    There is a particular kind of quiet in a South African lounge late on a Test night in France. The tea has gone cold, somebody is pacing the passage, and the clock on the screen seems to slow down on purpose. Paris has given Bok supporters plenty to cheer since 2013. It has seldom given them a relaxed final quarter.

    On paper, this week looks easy to love: 66 points in Turin, nine tries, a perfect 20 points from four rounds and a five-match winning run in the French capital. These are the Springboks v France stats that matter before Friday, what they appear to say, and what they leave out.

    Quick facts
    MatchFrance v South Africa, Nations Championship, round five
    WhenFriday 13 November 2026, 22:10 SAST (21:10 local, per the stadium)
    WhereStade de France, Saint-Denis
    RefereeAndrea Piardi (Italy)
    TableSouth Africa first in the South on 20 points; France first in the North on 17

    The number: 66-7, nine tries and a run of five

    Start with Saturday. SA Rugby’s match report has the Boks 45-0 up at the interval in Turin after six converted tries and a Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu penalty. They added three more tries after the break, and Italy scored once, a converted try by Federico Ruzza on 61 minutes. Nine tries, nine conversions and a penalty make 66. Feinberg-Mngomezulu was perfect off the tee and finished with 26 points. The full afternoon, scorers and all, is in our Italy v Springboks report.

    Then the table. World Rugby’s Nations Championship standings, checked this morning, have South Africa on 20 points from four wins, with 196 points scored, 56 conceded and 29 tries. Turin supplied 66 of those points and nine of those tries.

    Then the history. In its notes for Friday’s Test, SA Rugby records that the Springboks have won the last five meetings with France in Paris, a sequence that began in 2013, and that Les Bleus have not beaten them in the French capital since 2005. Across all 47 Tests between the countries, SA Rugby has South Africa on 29 wins, France on 12, with six draws.

    What the numbers seem to say

    Put those three sets of figures side by side and the conclusion seems obvious. A side that scores freely, a defence that barely bends, and a stadium that has turned into a second home.

    The defensive figure is striking. Those 56 points are the fewest conceded by any of the twelve teams on World Rugby’s table. New Zealand, level with the Boks on 20 points, have let in 91. France, who lead the northern group, have conceded 92.

    Read quickly, Friday looks like a formality. Read slowly, the same numbers argue for a lot more caution.

    What actually happened in Turin and in Paris

    Turin

    Italy were without their captain, Michele Lamaro, as World Rugby’s own preview noted, and they sit bottom of the northern group: no points from four Tests, 44 scored, 197 conceded and six tries in the whole campaign. The Boks scored more tries against them in 80 minutes than Italy have scored in four matches.

    A quieter detail: after the 45-0 half, it was three tries to one. Still dominant, but not the same avalanche. World Rugby’s match centre had not published team statistics for Turin when we checked, so we have not quoted possession, territory or tackle counts from news reports. Our Fan Seat made the emotional case on Sunday that the afternoon tested very little. The official numbers on Italy’s season back that up.

    Paris

    Now the streak. These are the key Springbok results against France in Paris since 1997, drawn from SA Rugby’s own reports and match notes, together with the 2022 French win in Marseille that the Paris run leaves out.

    YearVenueResultWhat SA Rugby records
    1997Parc des Princes, ParisSouth Africa 52-10Biggest Bok win over France, by 42 points
    2001Stade de FranceFrance 20-10First Bok Test against France at the Stade de France
    2005ParisFrance wonThe last French win over the Boks in Paris
    2013, 2017, 2018Paris (2018 at the Stade de France)South Africa won all threeNone of the three by more than nine points
    12 November 2022Stade Vélodrome, MarseilleFrance 30-26Not Paris; ended seven straight Bok wins over France
    15 October 2023Stade de France, World Cup quarter-finalSouth Africa 29-28France led 22-19 at half-time; crowd of 79,486
    8 November 2025Stade de FranceSouth Africa 32-17Biggest Bok win in Paris since 1997

    Read down the right-hand column. Before last year, SA Rugby’s notes put the biggest margin in the four Paris wins since 2013 at nine points. The quarter-final was settled by a single point, after France had led at the break. Only 2025 opened a real gap, and it came the hard way: Lood de Jager was sent off late in the first half, the Boks played the entire second half with 14 men, and three tries in the last 20 minutes turned a contest into 32-17, four tries to two.

    So the streak is real. So is the strain behind it. Five in a row sounds like a procession. Most of it was a scramble.

    Why the gap exists: Springboks v France stats need a map

    The first reason is geography. SA Rugby counts the Stade de France, in Saint-Denis, as Paris: its report on the 2025 win calls the 32-17 at that ground its biggest victory over the French in Paris since 1997. That is a fair way to count. But “Paris” is not “France”. On 12 November 2022 at the Stade Vélodrome in Marseille, France beat the Boks 30-26, ending what SA Rugby called a run of seven successive defeats against South Africa. France’s most recent home win over the Springboks is four years old, not 21.

    The second reason is the opposition. Italy in Turin and France at the Stade de France are not the same examination. On World Rugby’s table France have three wins from four, 170 points, 24 tries and 17 log points, enough to lead the North. And their November has not all been in Paris: their win over Fiji last Saturday, reported by AFP and RugbyPass, came at the Groupama Stadium in Lyon, the venue World Rugby lists. Friday brings them to the Stade de France, where they also host Argentina on 21 November.

    The third reason is the setting. SA Rugby’s own report of the 2023 quarter-final counted 79,486 in the stadium, most of them roaring for France, and France were ahead at half-time. A stadium where the hosts tend to stay in the fight is a very different place from one where the bonus point is secured inside half an hour.

    The fourth reason is selection, which sits partly outside the numbers. Rassie Erasmus has made only two changes to the 23 that won in Turin, and our Springbok team news for Paris has the side and his reasoning in full. Continuity helps. It does not change what the Turin numbers were measured against.

    What it means for Friday

    The table is where the cold maths lives. The Boks and the All Blacks both have 20 points, and only points difference, +140 against +73, separates them. SA Rugby’s tournament page is clear that only the team on top of each group plays in the Grand Final at Twickenham, so every point and every margin in Paris carries weight. For the finals format, read how the Nations Championship works.

    France are top of the North and the Boks top of the South. If both stay there, Friday becomes a preview of the Grand Final. After Paris the group stage ends in Dublin, where Ireland host the Boks at the Aviva Stadium on 21 November.

    Our view: this is ScoreLine’s analysis, not a fact. Turin showed a side that turns territory into points ruthlessly when the opposition cannot hold the maul or the scoreboard. Paris, on SA Rugby’s own figures, is a place where France usually stay close enough to make the last quarter decide it. The number to watch on Friday is not the try count. It is the gap on the board with 20 minutes left. Four of the last five Paris wins were by nine points or fewer, and Marseille was lost by four. For more on this team’s long road, our Springboks page has the bigger story.

    Frequently asked questions

    How many times in a row have the Springboks beaten France in Paris?

    Five. SA Rugby records that South Africa have won the last five Tests against France in Paris, beginning with the 2013 meeting. France’s last win over the Springboks in Paris came in 2005.

    When did France last beat the Springboks?

    France beat South Africa 30-26 at the Stade Vélodrome in Marseille on 12 November 2022, according to SA Rugby. That result ended a run of seven successive South African wins over France. The two sides have met twice since, in Paris in 2023 and 2025, and the Boks won both.

    What was the score when the Springboks played Italy in Turin?

    The Boks won 66-7 in Turin last Saturday, 7 November, having led 45-0 at the break. The Boks scored nine tries, all converted, and Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu finished with 26 points.

    What time is France v South Africa, and where is it played?

    The Test is on Friday 13 November 2026 at the Stade de France in Saint-Denis, with kick-off at 22:10 SAST according to SA Rugby. Andrea Piardi of Italy is the referee, according to World Rugby’s match officials list.

    What is the Springboks’ overall record against France?

    SA Rugby’s figures before Friday show 47 Tests between the countries. South Africa have won 29, France 12, and six have been drawn.

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